XRP Eyes July Rebound After Weak Q2 Performance

XRP is set to close Q2 2025 on a disappointing note, with June losses adding to its earlier downturn. After a modest 0.80% decline in May and a deeper 5.64% drop so far in June, the gains from April's 4.98% rise have been erased. The token is now hovering around $2.03, showing no clear momentum but maintaining support within a narrow trading range.

While the recent price action lacks excitement, historical trends suggest this may be the calm before a seasonal shift. XRP’s long-term performance data reveals July as its most consistently bullish month. With an average return of 7.90% and a median return of 6.91%, July stands out alongside April as a reliably strong period over more than a decade of trading.

This seasonal strength isn’t random. Previous years show a recurring pattern: weak Q2 performance followed by strong Q3 rebounds. In 2024, XRP plunged 25% in Q2 but surged nearly 29% in Q3. In 2022, a 59.4% drop was followed by a 44.5% recovery. Similar summer turnarounds were also seen in 2020 and 2021, underscoring a potential structural trend.

Currently, XRP is not showing signs of a breakdown, but it also lacks a clear bullish catalyst. Still, historical performance suggests that a major move could be imminent. If seasonal patterns hold, July could flip the script and lead to a significant price recovery.

Investors should closely monitor XRP’s movement heading into July. Given its strong seasonal bias and historical rebound patterns, the token might soon enter a new bullish phase—one that could surprise a market currently clouded by short-term doubt.